AI Market Experiences 'DeepSeek Panic'; Binance Predicts DeFAI Market Cap Will Reach $10 Billion by the End of 2025 | AI Daily

By: blockbeats|2025/02/05 12:00:03
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Original Author: S4mmyEth, Moca Network Researcher
Original Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats

Editor's Note: This article analyzes the dynamics between AI agents and the crypto market, pointing out that despite the market downturn, AI agent technology is still rapidly advancing. Companies like Deepseek and Qwen have introduced competitive models, driving market changes. DeFAI, as a future hot topic, is expected to become a regular business in DeFi. Later this year, with the deployment of more advanced agents and DeFAI solutions, a larger AI bubble is expected to emerge, leading to a significant increase in market capitalization.

The following is the original content (reorganized for better readability):


The trade war has had a significant impact on the entire crypto market, and AI agents have not been spared. Does this mean an opportunity for the disruption of virtual products and the rise of value-driven agent products?

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

2. Weekly AI Agent Analysis: Influence and Market Value

3. AI Agent Development: Innovation and Market Disruptors

4. More AI News Highlights

Introduction


Artificial Intelligence dropped by 34% (9% decrease from last week) but remains the dominant focus of attention, with continued industry growth laying a solid foundation:

AI Market Experiences 'DeepSeek Panic'; Binance Predicts DeFAI Market Cap Will Reach src=

This week has been a significant blow to the entire crypto market, and AI agents have not been spared, with the previous week's agent market capitalization evaporating by 42%. However, I believe this is only a short-term fluctuation, as capital is temporarily disconnected from fundamentals—interactions with builders in this space reveal a sense of more breakthroughs to come, especially in the DeFAI field.

Artificial Intelligence is a macro trend that is destined to disrupt every industry and will not go away. The U.S. plans to invest $500 billion in AI infrastructure through the StarNet program over the next 5 years, while the European Union has committed 10% of that amount.

However, is a huge budget necessary to compete?

Deepseek and Qwen were able to produce an LLM comparable to ChatGPT's O1 model at a lower cost, forcing OpenAI to release the O3 model and its related agent, "Deep Research."

Regarding the current AI agents in the crypto market: CookieDOTFUN has documented 1,387 AI agents with a total market value of $7.7 billion.

This added 14 agents on Cookie (a 1% increase), but the overall market value decreased by $5.6 billion (a 42% decrease) (last week's data provided below for reference):

Within this $5.6 billion loss in market value, some agents have shown more resilience, with some even rebounding, prompting us to conduct a more detailed analysis.

Weekly AI Agent Analysis


Due to the ongoing tariff wars and the uncertainty caused by Deepseek, the overall market saw a heightened pullback, leading to shifts in the top AI agents vying for attention:

The well-known "elephant" is VVV, which experienced a significant pullback following a controversial release, further exacerbated by a broader market decline.

For daily analysis, you can directly refer to my X account, where I provide real-time market insights:

January 28th – "Open Source Everything" - Jack (Dorsey)

February 3 - "Now that this [AI] model is fully open source, we expect to see a significant improvement worldwide" - hosseeb

Alternatively, you can also listen to my daily AI agent summaries, available on Spotify and Amazon Music.

AI Agent Development: Innovation and Market Disruptors


January 28 - Deepseek has produced an LLM comparable to the ChatGPT O1 model, but at a fraction of the cost. This has led to a decline in the U.S. stock market, particularly NVIDIA's GPU stock price, as competitive models can now be produced at a lower computational cost.

January 29 - Jack Dorsey launched the agent "Goose," further promoting the open-source idea and competing with more closed-source models.

January 30 - shawmakesmagic discussed ElizaOS and open-source AI development on CNBC and other news channels.

January 31 - Qwen from Alibaba entered the market, claiming its quality surpasses that of Deepseek. The progress of these models will enhance the output effectiveness of agents using them.

February 1 - Cookie revealed the underlying "collective thinking" of its agent, demonstrating how its agent group makes decisions - all agents contribute information to Agent Cookie, utilizing extensive LLMs to optimize solutions.

February 2 - As the market experiences a downturn, it is worth noting that agents will not disappear. The genie is out of the bottle, and it won't go back in. Video from FomoRadio.

February 3 - OpenAI responded to Qwen and Deepseek by introducing an upgraded agent (Deep Research) to further enhance agent output, especially after Deepseek gained market share.

Broader AI News Summary

·The launch of DeepSeek led to a massive sell-off of US tech stocks and AI stocks, demonstrating the market's concerns over AI cost reduction.

·NousResearch introduced Nous Psyche, a project aimed at decentralized AI development, based on Solana, focusing on collaborative training and reasoning.

·The founder of Pippin launched Agent Fund, a venture capital fund that provides funding for AI agent applications, infrastructure, and tools.

·StoryProtocol announced Emergenceverse, a blockchain-based franchise project involving AI agent participation.

·Nillion Network integrated the DeepSeek R1-14B model into its private network to enhance privacy protection.

·Hyperbolic Labs partnered with Nexus to provide GPU support, advancing ZK technology.

·Nesa.org launched a fully encrypted inference API using Equivariant Encryption.

·Prime Intellect released TOPLOC, enhancing verifiable reasoning in decentralized computing protocols.

·GizaTech completed over 11,500 autonomous trades using its revenue-optimizing robot ARMA.

·Thirdweb introduced Nebula for Unity, allowing game developers to integrate on-chain agents into games.

·Privasea.ai launched the second-phase testnet, incentivizing users through AI computation to earn token rewards.

·Virtuals.io expands to Solana, unveils new partnerships and initiatives.

·Youmio_ai collaborates with Virtuals_io to integrate an AI agent into a 3D environment.

·Chromia launches EVAL, a tool to assess other AI agents on its platform.

·DriftProtocol integrates with the Solana Agent Kit, providing on-chain transaction capability.

·0G_labs introduces the ERC-7857 standard to represent AI agents as NFTs.

·Autonolas announces the launch of Modius, a DeFAI agent for asset management.

·ThinkAgents releases their agent standard whitepaper, enhancing on-chain agent interoperability.

·Due to a market cap drop, Venice's VVV token airdrop faces controversy.

·ai16zdao rebrands to ElizaOS.

·Bittensor's dTAO upgrade is set for mid-February.

·Modenetwork launches a subnet on Bittensor for cryptocurrency price prediction.

Conclusion


While the market may be in a downturn, innovation has not ceased. Many hackathons are ongoing; Coinbase just concluded, with BitMindAI winning the Best Infrastructure award.

Stay tuned for more updates from cookiedotfun, openservai, and seedifyfund; some innovative solutions will emerge in the process of nurturing the agent ecosystem.

DeFAI is a hot topic at the moment, referring to AI integrated into the DeFi tech stack, driving autonomous trading; borrowing words from danielesesta—DeFAI is inevitable.

Complexity will be fully abstracted, and by the end of this year, DeFAI will become mainstream business as usual (BAU) for DeFi. Binance's initial report indicates that by the end of 2025, the market cap of DeFAI will reach $10 billion, which is ten times the current valuation.

Price movement is currently disconnected from the underlying technology due to fluctuations between expectations and reality. I anticipate a larger AI bubble later this year as the next wave of more powerful agents and DeFAI solutions go into production.

Original Article Link

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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