CITIC Construction Investment: Limited Upside for Real Interest Rates in 2027, Gold Prices Expected to Fluctuate Upwards

CITIC Construction Investment has released its investment outlook for gold in 2027, indicating that gold prices will be under pressure from rising real interest rates in 2026. Looking ahead to 2027, the room for further increases in real interest rates is limited, as rate hike expectations have been fully priced in by the market. Continued gold purchases by global central banks will provide support during price correction phases, and gold prices are expected to fluctuate upwards in 2027. On the risk front, geopolitical conflicts between the U.S. and Iran are driving up oil prices, and inflation remains a major risk variable for 2027; however, the impact of this factor on gold prices is expected to weaken marginally.

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