Less than ten days away from the Fed's September interest rate meeting, traders are starting to bet on an October rate cut

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/09/08 11:32:31

BlockBeats News, September 8th. With less than ten days until the Fed's September interest rate meeting, current market traders are betting on a high probability of a rate cut in September and a simultaneous increase in the probability of a rate cut in October.

According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of no rate cut in September by the Fed is now 0, with a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. This probability is reported as 87% on Polymarket.

Furthermore, traders are starting to bet on a rate cut in October. CME data shows that if the Fed cuts rates in September, the probability of another 25 basis point rate cut in October is 71.6%, a significant increase from last week's 48%.

A Polymarket user supported nearly half of Trade.xyz's "active addresses" with 34,000 wallets, yet contributed less than 1% of the trading volume. The real support for the market comes from market-making institutions like Jump, Selini, and Wintermute, as well as a group of directional traders crossi...

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