买币
合约交易CryptoQuant：熊市或已开启，中期支撑位预计为7万美元
BlockBeats 消息，12 月 20 日，链上分析公司 CryptoQuant 发布报告称，比特币需求增长已显著放缓，或预示着熊市即将到来。自 2023 年以来，比特币经历了三次主要的现货需求浪潮——分别由美国现货 ETF 的推出、美国总统大选结果以及比特币国库公司泡沫推动——但自 2025 年 10 月初以来，需求增长已低于趋势水平。这表明本轮周期的大部分新增需求已经实现，价格支撑的关键支柱也随之消失。
另一方面，衍生品市场也证实了风险偏好减弱：永续期货的资金费率（365 日移动平均线）已降至 2023 年 12 月以来的最低水平。从历史数据来看，其下降反映了维持多头头寸的意愿降低，这种模式通常在熊市而非牛市中出现。
技术面上，价格结构随需求疲软而恶化：比特币已跌破其 365 日移动平均线，这是一个关键的长期技术支撑位，历史上它一直是牛市和熊市的分界线。
不过，下行参考点表明熊市幅度相对较小：从历史数据来看，比特币熊市底部与已实现价格基本一致，目前接近 5.6 万美元，这意味着从近期历史高点回落幅度可能达到 55%——这是有史以来最小的回落幅度。预计中期支撑位在 7 万美元附近。
猜你喜欢
CZ 华盛顿对话：加密创业者正在加速回流美国
早报 | Strategy 上周增持 1031 枚比特币；Katana 区块链收购 IDEX；纽交所完成取消加密 ETF 期权交易限额的规则变更
## 大鲸开20倍杠杆空头头寸：看似危险的市场押注
Key Takeaways A significant leveraged short position on crude oil has been initiated on Hyperliquid using 5.6 million…
# 比特币狂热者迈克尔·塞勒重申比特币的对冲属性
Key Takeaways Michael Saylor, co-founder of Strategy, firmly believes Bitcoin is the ultimate hedge against macroeconomic chaos. Strategy…
巨鲸开启比特币多头交易，设置十大战略目标
Key Takeaways A prominent cryptocurrency whale known as @Jason60704294 has reopened a long position in Bitcoin. The whale…
# Outline
Key Takeaways Despite Bitcoin’s decline below $71,000, its bullish momentum remains strong, with significant buying activity from ETFs…
# DeFi协议Neutrl遭攻击，用户被敦促停止互动并撤回授权
Key Takeaways The DeFi protocol Neutrl has reported a suspected attack on its front-end interface, urging users to…
# 比特币价格跌破71,000美元：市场反应与未来展望
Key Takeaways Bitcoin (BTC) recently experienced a sharp drop, falling below the $71,000 mark, a significant decline influenced…
用户误签交易遭窃 sNUSD
Key Takeaways A user lost approximately $85,000 in sNUSD due to a phishing attack. The attack involved a…
假冒Pudgy Penguins游戏的钓鱼网站窃取用户钱包密码
Key Takeaways A phishing campaign is targeting the Pudgy Penguins’ newly-launched game, Pudgy World, to steal cryptocurrency wallet…
天桥策略与巨鲸出手：加密市场动态解析
Key Takeaways Sky co-founder Rune Christensen has leveraged strategic moves to short the S&P 500 and invest in…
巨鲸购买以太坊数量激增：两周内购入10,811.34 ETH
Key Takeaways A significant whale activity has been detected, involving the purchase of 10,811.34 ETH over two weeks.…
鲸鱼关闭空头头寸获利700万美元
Key Takeaways A notable whale, @Jason60704294, made a profit of $7.093 million by closing a short position during…
BlackRock从Coinbase提取加密货币资金
Key Takeaways In a surprising move, BlackRock has withdrawn 2,267 BTC and 5,041 ETH from Coinbase in the…
## 大纲
Key Takeaways An ancient cryptocurrency whale offloaded 1,000 BTC, valued at approximately $71.57 million, causing significant ripples in…
Key Takeaways In the last 24 hours, $272 million worth of contracts were liquidated across the entire crypto…
Key Takeaways A prominent whale, known as “UnRektCapital,” has strategically escalated its short position in Bitcoin while simultaneously…
Key Takeaways Hackers in Brazil are exploiting fake Google Play Store pages to spread Android malware. Infected devices…
CZ 华盛顿对话：加密创业者正在加速回流美国
早报 | Strategy 上周增持 1031 枚比特币；Katana 区块链收购 IDEX；纽交所完成取消加密 ETF 期权交易限额的规则变更
## 大鲸开20倍杠杆空头头寸：看似危险的市场押注
Key Takeaways A significant leveraged short position on crude oil has been initiated on Hyperliquid using 5.6 million…
# 比特币狂热者迈克尔·塞勒重申比特币的对冲属性
Key Takeaways Michael Saylor, co-founder of Strategy, firmly believes Bitcoin is the ultimate hedge against macroeconomic chaos. Strategy…
巨鲸开启比特币多头交易，设置十大战略目标
Key Takeaways A prominent cryptocurrency whale known as @Jason60704294 has reopened a long position in Bitcoin. The whale…
# Outline
Key Takeaways Despite Bitcoin’s decline below $71,000, its bullish momentum remains strong, with significant buying activity from ETFs…
App